MLB Slate
2026-08-11 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:40 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 58-61
@ Detroit Tigers 58-60
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
4–6
|
+128 / -139 | 8.5 | 57% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:40 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 58-62
@ Miami Marlins 60-59
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
0–2
|
-106 / -102 | 7 | 50% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:45 PM |
Chicago Cubs 69-50
@ Washington Nationals 59-61
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
8–6
|
-173 / +158 | 9 | 38% | 43% | model leans home |
| 7:05 PM |
Seattle Mariners 56-63
@ New York Yankees 66-52
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
1–4
|
+116 / -125 | 8 | 55% | 57% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:07 PM |
Boston Red Sox 64-54
@ Toronto Blue Jays 57-63
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
3–5
|
+117 / -127 | 7 | 55% | 47% | model leans away |
| 7:15 PM |
New York Mets 53-67
@ Atlanta Braves 71-48
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
0–4
|
+116 / -126 | 8.5 | 55% | 60% | model leans home |
| 7:40 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 57-62
@ Minnesota Twins 59-61
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
5–2
|
+100 / -108 | 9 | 51% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:40 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 56-61
@ Chicago White Sox 61-56
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/10
5–4
|
+139 / -152 | 7.5 | 59% | 54% | model leans away |
| 7:45 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 64-56
@ St. Louis Cardinals 59-60
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
0–2
|
-153 / +141 | 7.5 | 41% | 47% | model leans home |
| 9:38 PM |
Texas Rangers 60-59
@ Los Angeles Angels 45-74
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
2–3
|
-145 / +133 | 9 | 42% | 46% | model leans home |
| 9:40 PM |
Colorado Rockies 46-73
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 64-56
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
3–2
|
+151 / -165 | 9 | 61% | 68% | model leans home |
| 9:40 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 74-45
@ San Diego Padres 63-57
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
2–11
|
-125 / +116 | 7.5 | 45% | 46% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 72-46
@ Athletics 47-72
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
12–4
|
-190 / +173 | 10.5 | 36% | 43% | model leans home |
| 9:45 PM |
Houston Astros 61-59
@ San Francisco Giants 49-70
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
1–4
|
-189 / +173 | 8 | 36% | 50% | model leans home |
| 10:10 PM |
Kansas City Royals 49-71
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 71-48
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/10
4–5
|
+233 / -260 | 8 | 71% | 68% | model leans away |