MLB Slate
2026-08-31 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
12
First pitch
6:05 PM
Final
12
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
12 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:05 PM |
San Francisco Giants 56-81
@ Atlanta Braves 82-55
|
Anthony Molina
· 4.38 · 10.2
Bryce Elder
· 4.25 · 7.5
|
Final
7–3
|
— | — | — | 62% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
New York Mets 61-76
@ Tampa Bay Rays 82-54
|
Robert Stock
· 6.00 · 8.7
Ian Seymour
· 4.44 · 11.8
|
Final
3–2
|
— | — | — | 64% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
San Diego Padres 72-65
@ Cincinnati Reds 65-72
|
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
Brady Singer
· 5.66 · 7.2
|
Final
5–0
|
— | — | — | 44% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
Miami Marlins 69-68
@ Washington Nationals 65-74
|
Ryan Gusto
· 4.33 · 7.4
Will Dion
· 0.00 · 3.0
|
Final
3–6
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
Seattle Mariners 64-73
@ Boston Red Sox 74-63
|
George Kirby
· 4.33 · 7.6
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
|
Final/10
8–9
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Detroit Tigers 63-73
@ Minnesota Twins 65-72
|
Jackson Jobe
· 3.91 · 10.0
Taj Bradley
· 3.73 · 10.3
|
Final
1–11
|
— | — | — | 52% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 85-52
@ Chicago Cubs 77-60
|
Kyle Harrison
· 4.11 · 10.6
Clay Holmes
· 3.29 · 6.9
|
Final
3–17
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Athletics 53-84
@ Texas Rangers 67-70
|
Gage Jump
· 5.56 · 9.9
Jacob deGrom
· 4.20 · 11.1
|
Final
1–8
|
— | — | — | 64% | — |
| 8:10 PM |
Chicago White Sox 72-64
@ Houston Astros 69-68
|
Anthony Kay
· 4.53 · 7.6
Peter Lambert
· 3.82 · 8.9
|
Final
3–6
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 8:40 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 68-69
@ Colorado Rockies 52-85
|
Kyle Bradish
· 4.12 · 8.2
Tanner Gordon
· 7.97 · 6.5
|
Final
2–1
|
-116 / +107 | 11 | 47% | 39% | model leans away |
| 9:38 PM |
New York Yankees 78-59
@ Los Angeles Angels 52-85
|
Elmer Rodríguez
· 9.82 · 12.3
George Klassen
· 3.67 · 8.0
|
Final
1–10
|
-123 / +113 | 7.5 | 46% | 40% | model leans away |
| 9:40 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 77-60
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 73-65
|
Aaron Nola
· 4.67 · 9.1
Brandon Pfaadt
· 3.38 · 5.8
|
Final
2–1
|
-105 / -103 | 8 | 50% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |