MLB Slate
2026-09-02 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
12:40 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:40 PM |
San Diego Padres 73-66
@ Cincinnati Reds 66-73
|
Casey Mize
· 3.87 · 7.7
Rhett Lowder
· 6.13 · 7.3
|
Final
3–7
|
-155 / +142 | 9.5 | 40% | 44% | model leans home |
| 1:05 PM |
Atlanta Braves 82-57
@ Washington Nationals 67-74
|
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
Jackson Kent
· 6.40 · 7.5
|
Final
9–0
|
-132 / +122 | 9.5 | 44% | 39% | model leans away |
| 2:35 PM |
Athletics 53-86
@ Texas Rangers 69-70
|
Jacob Lopez
· 5.50 · 7.8
Cody Bradford
· 5.24 · 3.4
|
Final
9–2
|
+144 / -157 | 8 | 60% | 60% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 3:10 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 69-70
@ Colorado Rockies 53-86
|
Brandon Young
· 3.49 · 7.6
Tomoyuki Sugano
· 5.36 · 5.6
|
Final/11
5–6
|
-174 / +160 | 11.5 | 37% | 43% | model leans home |
| 3:40 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 79-60
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 73-67
|
Andrew Painter
· 5.51 · 8.1
Taylor Clarke
· 3.86 · 3.9
|
Final
0–1
|
-127 / +117 | 8.5 | 45% | 54% | model leans home |
| 4:10 PM |
Seattle Mariners 65-74
@ Boston Red Sox 75-64
|
Emerson Hancock
· 3.53 · 8.1
Patrick Sandoval
· 5.28 · 9.4
|
Final
8–3
|
+130 / -141 | 8.5 | 58% | 59% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:40 PM |
New York Mets 62-77
@ Tampa Bay Rays 83-55
|
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
Shane McClanahan
· 3.28 · 8.1
|
Final
10–4
|
+162 / -177 | 8 | 63% | 61% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:40 PM |
San Francisco Giants 57-82
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 68-71
|
Landen Roupp
· 4.01 · 8.3
Bubba Chandler
· 4.72 · 8.1
|
Final/10
5–4
|
+139 / -151 | 9 | 59% | 51% | model leans away |
| 6:40 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 68-71
@ Cleveland Guardians 70-68
|
Dylan Cease
· 2.48 · 12.8
Joey Cantillo
· 4.01 · 9.6
|
Final
11–0
|
-125 / +115 | 7.5 | 45% | 51% | model leans home |
| 7:40 PM |
Detroit Tigers 63-75
@ Minnesota Twins 67-72
|
Drew Anderson
· 2.81 · 9.0
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
|
Final/12
11–6
|
+108 / -117 | 8.5 | 53% | 50% | model leans away |
| 7:40 PM |
Miami Marlins 70-69
@ Kansas City Royals 62-77
|
Eury Perez
· 4.05 · 9.3
Noah Cameron
· 4.44 · 7.8
|
Final
9–6
|
+109 / -118 | 9 | 53% | 47% | model leans away |
| 7:40 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 86-53
@ Chicago Cubs 78-61
|
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
David Peterson
· 5.17 · 8.7
|
Final
9–5
|
-140 / +129 | 9 | 43% | 43% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:10 PM |
Chicago White Sox 73-65
@ Houston Astros 70-69
|
Luis Castillo
· 5.37 · 7.6
Hunter Brown
· 3.11 · 10.3
|
Final
0–2
|
+126 / -136 | 8.5 | 57% | 53% | model leans away |
| 9:38 PM |
New York Yankees 79-60
@ Los Angeles Angels 53-86
|
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
Grayson Rodriguez
· 6.28 · 7.8
|
Final/10
6–3
|
-148 / +136 | 6.5 | 41% | 39% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:10 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 69-70
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 82-56
|
TBD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
· 2.53 · 8.9
|
Final/10
8–6
|
+264 / -298 | 8 | 74% | 69% | model leans away |