MLB Slate
2026-09-06 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
12:10 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:10 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 88-55
@ Cincinnati Reds 68-74
|
Kyle Harrison
· 4.11 · 10.6
Brady Singer
· 5.66 · 7.2
|
Final
8–12
|
-138 / +127 | 8.5 | 43% | 41% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:10 PM |
Atlanta Braves 84-58
@ Philadelphia Phillies 80-62
|
Tyler Mahle
· 3.99 · 8.3
Aaron Nola
· 4.67 · 9.1
|
Final
5–4
|
-102 / -106 | 8 | 50% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 54-88
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 70-73
|
Walbert Ureña
· 0.95 · 7.1
Paul Skenes
· 3.77 · 10.3
|
Final
0–1
|
+155 / -169 | 7 | 62% | 64% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
Boston Red Sox 78-65
@ Baltimore Orioles 69-74
|
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
Kyle Bradish
· 4.12 · 8.2
|
Final
3–1
|
-131 / +121 | 7 | 44% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:40 PM |
Chicago Cubs 81-62
@ Miami Marlins 71-72
|
Matthew Boyd
· 3.91 · 6.8
Tyler Phillips
· 3.90 · 6.8
|
Final
3–10
|
-130 / +120 | 8 | 44% | 44% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:40 PM |
Detroit Tigers 65-77
@ Cleveland Guardians 72-71
|
Jackson Jobe
· 3.91 · 10.0
Gavin Williams
· 3.76 · 12.1
|
Final/10
2–3
|
+148 / -161 | 7 | 61% | 57% | model leans away |
| 1:40 PM |
San Francisco Giants 59-84
@ New York Mets 64-78
|
Logan Webb
· 4.31 · 7.5
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
|
Final
2–4
|
+151 / -164 | 8 | 61% | 52% | model leans away |
| 2:10 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 75-68
@ Houston Astros 73-70
|
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
Peter Lambert
· 3.82 · 8.9
|
Final
3–2
|
+106 / -115 | 8 | 52% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:10 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 72-71
@ Kansas City Royals 63-80
|
Spencer Arrighetti
· 5.03 · 8.8
Randy Dobnak
· 3.92 · 6.6
|
Final
1–6
|
-117 / +108 | 9.5 | 47% | 49% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:35 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 85-57
@ Texas Rangers 70-73
|
Ian Seymour
· 4.44 · 11.8
MacKenzie Gore
· 4.74 · 9.2
|
Final
6–8
|
-106 / -102 | 7.5 | 50% | 46% | model leans away |
| 3:10 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 71-72
@ Colorado Rockies 55-87
|
Michael McGreevy
· 3.95 · 6.1
Tanner Gordon
· 7.97 · 6.5
|
Final
10–8
|
-126 / +117 | 11 | 45% | 42% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
Athletics 57-86
@ Seattle Mariners 66-77
|
Gage Jump
· 5.56 · 9.9
Bryan Woo
· 4.17 · 9.2
|
Final
0–2
|
+190 / -210 | 7 | 67% | 61% | model leans away |
| 4:10 PM |
New York Yankees 81-61
@ San Diego Padres 74-68
|
Gerrit Cole
· 3.61 · 9.3
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
|
Final
3–4
|
+102 / -110 | 7 | 51% | 50% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:20 PM |
Minnesota Twins 68-74
@ Chicago White Sox 74-68
|
Bailey Ober
· 4.57 · 6.9
Sean Burke
· 3.72 · 9.8
|
Final
1–10
|
+129 / -140 | 8.5 | 57% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:10 PM |
Washington Nationals 67-77
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 85-57
|
Andrew Alvarez
· 3.35 · 9.0
Justin Wrobleski
· 3.58 · 7.5
|
Final
5–7
|
+171 / -188 | 8.5 | 64% | 62% | agrees within 3 pts |