MLB Slate
2026-09-07 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
11
First pitch
1:05 PM
Final
11
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
11 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:05 PM |
Atlanta Braves 85-58
@ Philadelphia Phillies 80-63
|
Bryce Elder
· 4.25 · 7.5
Jesus Luzardo
· 3.18 · 11.1
|
Final
0–1
|
+170 / -186 | 8 | 64% | 57% | model leans away |
| 1:10 PM |
New York Mets 65-78
@ Miami Marlins 72-72
|
Robert Stock
· 6.00 · 8.7
Eury Perez
· 4.05 · 9.3
|
Final
9–4
|
+119 / -129 | 8 | 55% | 59% | model leans home |
| 1:35 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 54-89
@ Boston Red Sox 79-65
|
Grayson Rodriguez
· 6.28 · 7.8
Patrick Sandoval
· 5.28 · 9.4
|
Final
2–5
|
+155 / -169 | 8.5 | 62% | 63% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 73-71
@ Baltimore Orioles 69-75
|
Joey Cantillo
· 4.01 · 9.6
Trevor Rogers
· 4.07 · 8.1
|
Final
4–6
|
+123 / -133 | 7 | 56% | 53% | model leans away |
| 2:10 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 76-68
@ Kansas City Royals 64-80
|
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
Noah Cameron
· 4.44 · 7.8
|
Final/10
5–4
|
+100 / -108 | 9.5 | 51% | 49% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:10 PM |
Chicago Cubs 81-63
@ Milwaukee Brewers 88-56
|
David Peterson
· 5.17 · 8.7
Robert Gasser
· 4.11 · 8.7
|
Final
3–4
|
+113 / -123 | 8.5 | 54% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 3:10 PM |
Minnesota Twins 68-75
@ Detroit Tigers 65-78
|
TBD
Troy Melton
· 2.93 · 7.5
|
Final
4–5
|
+103 / -112 | 8 | 52% | 58% | model leans home |
| 5:10 PM |
Washington Nationals 67-78
@ San Diego Padres 75-68
|
Will Dion
· 0.00 · 3.0
Randy Vasquez
· 3.89 · 5.7
|
Final
2–3
|
+169 / -185 | 8.5 | 64% | 58% | model leans away |
| 8:10 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 72-72
@ San Francisco Giants 59-85
|
Michael McGreevy
· 3.95 · 6.1
Landen Roupp
· 4.01 · 8.3
|
Final/11
4–5
|
+119 / -128 | 8.5 | 55% | 49% | model leans away |
| 9:10 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 69-74
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 86-57
|
Chase Burns
· 2.86 · 10.8
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
· 2.53 · 8.9
|
Final
3–6
|
+160 / -175 | 8.5 | 63% | 65% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:05 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 72-72
@ Athletics 57-87
|
Dylan Cease
· 2.48 · 12.8
Jacob Lopez
· 5.50 · 7.8
|
Final
5–6
|
-203 / +185 | 8 | 34% | 42% | model leans home |