MLB Slate
2026-09-29 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
4
First pitch
2:00 PM
Final
4
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
4 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:00 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 88-74
@ Atlanta Braves 94-68
|
Jesus Luzardo
· 3.18 · 11.1
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
|
Final
3–5
|
+160 / -175 | 6.5 | 63% | 59% | model leans away |
| 5:00 PM |
Chicago White Sox 84-78
@ Houston Astros 81-81
|
Hagen Smith
· 0.00 · 13.5
AJ Blubaugh
|
Final
6–3
|
+110 / -119 | 8 | 53% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:00 PM |
Boston Red Sox 87-75
@ New York Yankees 93-68
|
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
|
Final
0–9
|
+117 / -126 | 6 | 55% | 56% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:00 PM |
Chicago Cubs 89-73
@ San Diego Padres 91-71
|
Matthew Boyd
· 3.91 · 6.8
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
|
Final
0–8
|
+122 / -132 | 7.5 | 56% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |