MLB Slate
2026-07-04 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
—
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — |
Baltimore Orioles 41-48
@ Cincinnati Reds 40-47
|
Brandon Young
· 3.31 · 7.4
Hunter Greene
· 6.83 · 10.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 59% | — |
| — |
Chicago White Sox 45-42
@ Cleveland Guardians 47-42
|
Sean Burke
· 3.35 · 10.3
Parker Messick
· 2.57 · 8.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 61% | — |
| — |
Minnesota Twins 42-47
@ New York Yankees 49-38
|
Zebby Matthews
· 5.22 · 7.7
Carlos Rodon
· 3.30 · 10.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 64% | — |
| — |
New York Mets 36-52
@ Atlanta Braves 51-35
|
Sean Manaea
· 4.44 · 8.0
Chris Sale
· 2.08 · 11.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 67% | — |
| — |
Pittsburgh Pirates 44-45
@ Washington Nationals 46-43
|
Braxton Ashcraft
· 3.96 · 9.9
Zack Littell
· 6.18 · 5.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 51% | — |
| — |
Detroit Tigers 38-50
@ Texas Rangers 45-43
|
Jack Flaherty
· 4.59 · 10.6
Kumar Rocker
· 4.44 · 7.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 53% | — |
| — |
Philadelphia Phillies 49-39
@ Kansas City Royals 35-53
|
Jesus Luzardo
· 3.86 · 10.7
Michael Wacha
· 3.51 · 7.2
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 46% | — |
| — |
St. Louis Cardinals 46-39
@ Chicago Cubs 49-39
|
Kyle Leahy
· 3.44 · 7.6
Shota Imanaga
· 3.67 · 8.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 59% | — |
| — |
Tampa Bay Rays 52-33
@ Houston Astros 43-47
|
Drew Rasmussen
· 2.91 · 9.4
Hunter Brown
· 3.42 · 9.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 49% | — |
| — |
San Francisco Giants 36-51
@ Colorado Rockies 36-53
|
Robbie Ray
· 3.25 · 7.7
Tomoyuki Sugano
· 4.47 · 5.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 45% | — |
| — |
Boston Red Sox 38-48
@ Los Angeles Angels 36-53
|
Sonny Gray
· 2.93 · 7.8
Sam Aldegheri
· 6.31 · 4.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 40% | — |
| — |
Miami Marlins 47-42
@ Athletics 41-47
|
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.68 · 6.9
Aaron Civale
· 5.23 · 6.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 50% | — |
| — |
Milwaukee Brewers 54-32
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 43-44
|
Brandon Woodruff
· 2.98 · 9.3
Merrill Kelly
· 5.04 · 6.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 39% | — |
| — |
San Diego Padres 43-44
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 58-31
|
Griffin Canning
· 6.79 · 9.1
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
· 2.76 · 8.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 69% | — |
| — |
Toronto Blue Jays 42-46
@ Seattle Mariners 45-44
|
Shane Bieber
· 5.11 · 6.8
Logan Gilbert
· 3.46 · 9.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 55% | — |