MLB Slate
2026-07-06 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
8
First pitch
2:10 PM
Final
8
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
8 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:10 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 50-40
@ Kansas City Royals 36-54
|
Cristopher Sánchez
· 5.76 · 7.9
Noah Cameron
· 4.44 · 7.8
|
Final
1–15
|
-205 / +186 | 8.5 | 34% | 48% | model leans home |
| 6:40 PM |
New York Yankees 49-40
@ Tampa Bay Rays 52-35
|
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
Griffin Jax
· 3.32 · 9.3
|
Final
5–1
|
— | — | — | 46% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
Houston Astros 45-47
@ Washington Nationals 46-45
|
Mike Burrows
· 6.05 · 7.1
Miles Mikolas
· 8.06 · 5.4
|
Final
11–12
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
New York Mets 37-53
@ Atlanta Braves 52-36
|
Freddy Peralta
· 4.14 · 8.3
Reynaldo López
· 6.92 · 6.9
|
Final/10
7–6
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 7:45 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 55-33
@ St. Louis Cardinals 47-40
|
Shane Drohan
· 5.07 · 9.0
Dustin May
· 4.77 · 9.0
|
Final
4–3
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 44-45
@ San Diego Padres 44-45
|
Brandon Pfaadt
· 3.38 · 5.8
Walker Buehler
· 4.69 · 7.7
|
Final
8–0
|
+112 / -122 | 8.5 | 54% | 53% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:45 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 42-48
@ San Francisco Giants 37-52
|
Kevin Gausman
· 4.51 · 9.3
Landen Roupp
· 4.01 · 8.3
|
Final
1–10
|
-108 / -101 | 7.5 | 49% | 45% | model leans away |
| 10:10 PM |
Colorado Rockies 37-54
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 59-32
|
Kyle Freeland
· 6.65 · 7.2
Eric Lauer
· 4.90 · 6.3
|
Final/11
7–8
|
+217 / -242 | 10 | 70% | 73% | model leans home |