MLB Slate
2026-07-07 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
16
First pitch
2:15 PM
Final
16
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
16 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:15 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 56-33
@ St. Louis Cardinals 47-41
|
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
Dustin May
· 4.77 · 9.0
|
Final
4–3
|
— | — | — | 39% | — |
| 6:35 PM |
Chicago Cubs 50-40
@ Baltimore Orioles 42-49
|
Matthew Boyd
· 3.91 · 6.8
Shane Baz
· 4.11 · 7.7
|
Final
5–2
|
— | — | — | 46% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Athletics 41-49
@ Detroit Tigers 40-50
|
J.T. Ginn
· 3.59 · 8.0
Tarik Skubal
· 2.71 · 10.6
|
Final
2–6
|
— | — | — | 65% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Atlanta Braves 52-37
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 46-45
|
Hurston Waldrep
· 10.38 · 6.2
Paul Skenes
· 3.77 · 10.3
|
Final
4–12
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
New York Yankees 50-40
@ Tampa Bay Rays 52-36
|
Will Warren
· 4.06 · 9.1
Shane McClanahan
· 3.28 · 8.1
|
Final
4–6
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Seattle Mariners 47-44
@ Miami Marlins 49-42
|
Bryan Woo
· 4.17 · 9.2
Max Meyer
· 2.68 · 9.8
|
Final/10
5–6
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
Houston Astros 45-48
@ Washington Nationals 47-45
|
Tatsuya Imai
· 5.83 · 11.0
Andrew Alvarez
· 3.35 · 9.0
|
Final
6–3
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Kansas City Royals 37-54
@ New York Mets 38-53
|
Seth Lugo
· 5.17 · 7.0
TBD
|
Final
16–12
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 50-41
@ Cincinnati Reds 41-48
|
Zack Wheeler
· 3.00 · 10.7
Andrew Abbott
· 4.69 · 7.2
|
Final
4–1
|
— | — | — | 42% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Boston Red Sox 40-48
@ Chicago White Sox 47-42
|
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
Noah Schultz
· 6.41 · 8.2
|
Final
8–1
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 47-44
@ Minnesota Twins 44-47
|
Joey Cantillo
· 4.01 · 9.6
Taj Bradley
· 3.73 · 10.3
|
Final
1–3
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 7:45 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 56-33
@ St. Louis Cardinals 47-41
|
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
TBD
|
Final
10–2
|
— | — | — | 38% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 36-55
@ Texas Rangers 45-45
|
José Soriano
· 4.66 · 5.3
Jacob deGrom
· 4.20 · 11.1
|
Final
3–8
|
+142 / -155 | 7 | 60% | 65% | model leans home |
| 9:40 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 45-45
@ San Diego Padres 44-46
|
Zac Gallen
· 6.22 · 5.5
Randy Vasquez
· 3.89 · 5.7
|
Final
1–4
|
+107 / -116 | 9 | 53% | 53% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:45 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 42-49
@ San Francisco Giants 38-52
|
TBD
Trevor McDonald
· 5.12 · 7.3
|
Final
9–3
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 10:10 PM |
Colorado Rockies 37-55
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 60-32
|
Michael Lorenzen
· 7.30 · 6.4
Justin Wrobleski
· 3.58 · 7.5
|
Final
4–3
|
+269 / -304 | 9.5 | 74% | 72% | agrees within 3 pts |