MLB Slate
2026-07-08 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
3:45 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:45 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 43-49
@ San Francisco Giants 38-53
|
Dylan Cease
· 2.48 · 12.8
Logan Webb
· 4.31 · 7.5
|
Final
10–0
|
-128 / +118 | 7 | 45% | 52% | model leans home |
| 6:35 PM |
Chicago Cubs 51-40
@ Baltimore Orioles 42-50
|
Colin Rea
· 4.47 · 6.7
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
|
Final
9–7
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Athletics 41-50
@ Detroit Tigers 41-50
|
Jeffrey Springs
· 5.97 · 6.9
Troy Melton
· 2.93 · 7.5
|
Final
1–6
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Atlanta Braves 52-38
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 47-45
|
Grant Holmes
· 3.73 · 6.9
Jared Jones
· 3.59 · 11.0
|
Final
3–0
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
New York Yankees 50-41
@ Tampa Bay Rays 53-36
|
Gerrit Cole
· 3.61 · 9.3
Shane McClanahan
· 3.28 · 8.1
|
Final
0–3
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Seattle Mariners 47-45
@ Miami Marlins 50-42
|
George Kirby
· 4.33 · 7.6
Tyler Phillips
· 3.90 · 6.8
|
Final
0–2
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
Houston Astros 46-48
@ Washington Nationals 47-46
|
Spencer Arrighetti
· 5.03 · 8.8
Foster Griffin
· 3.42 · 8.1
|
Final
2–8
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 7:00 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 51-41
@ Cincinnati Reds 41-49
|
TBD
Chase Burns
· 2.86 · 10.8
|
Final
5–11
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Kansas City Royals 38-54
@ New York Mets 38-54
|
Stephen Kolek
· 4.50 · 5.7
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
|
Final
2–6
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Boston Red Sox 41-48
@ Chicago White Sox 47-43
|
Jake Bennett
· 3.58 · 7.2
Davis Martin
· 3.58 · 8.0
|
Final
5–0
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 47-45
@ Minnesota Twins 45-47
|
Slade Cecconi
· 4.78 · 7.0
Connor Prielipp
· 5.09 · 9.1
|
Final
5–6
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 7:45 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 58-33
@ St. Louis Cardinals 47-43
|
Kyle Harrison
· 4.11 · 10.6
Andre Pallante
· 3.91 · 6.1
|
Final
1–5
|
— | — | — | 41% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 36-56
@ Texas Rangers 46-45
|
Walbert Ureña
· 0.95 · 7.1
MacKenzie Gore
· 4.74 · 9.2
|
Final
13–1
|
+119 / -129 | 8 | 55% | 60% | model leans home |
| 10:00 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 45-46
@ San Diego Padres 45-46
|
Jose Cabrera
· 5.32 · 6.5
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
|
Final
4–10
|
+128 / -139 | 8.5 | 57% | 59% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:10 PM |
Colorado Rockies 38-55
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 60-33
|
Ryan Feltner
· 6.19 · 6.4
Roki Sasaki
· 4.60 · 8.8
|
Final
3–4
|
+233 / -260 | 10 | 71% | 70% | agrees within 3 pts |