MLB Slate
2026-07-10 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
—
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — |
Boston Red Sox 43-48
@ New York Mets 40-54
|
Sonny Gray
· 2.93 · 7.8
Nolan McLean
· 3.29 · 10.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 47% | — |
| — |
Chicago Cubs 52-41
@ Cincinnati Reds 42-50
|
Shota Imanaga
· 3.67 · 8.4
Hunter Greene
· 6.83 · 10.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 46% | — |
| — |
Cleveland Guardians 48-46
@ Miami Marlins 52-42
|
Parker Messick
· 2.57 · 8.9
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.68 · 6.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 50% | — |
| — |
Kansas City Royals 38-56
@ Baltimore Orioles 43-51
|
Luinder Avila
· 6.10 · 7.8
Brandon Young
· 3.31 · 7.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 55% | — |
| — |
Milwaukee Brewers 59-34
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 47-47
|
Brandon Sproat
· 5.20 · 9.5
Braxton Ashcraft
· 3.96 · 9.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 47% | — |
| — |
New York Yankees 51-42
@ Washington Nationals 48-46
|
Ryan Weathers
· 3.99 · 9.9
Zack Littell
· 6.18 · 5.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 48% | — |
| — |
Philadelphia Phillies 52-42
@ Detroit Tigers 43-50
|
Aaron Nola
· 5.55 · 9.1
Jack Flaherty
· 4.59 · 10.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 51% | — |
| — |
Seattle Mariners 47-47
@ Tampa Bay Rays 54-37
|
Luis Castillo
· 4.99 · 7.6
Nick Martinez
· 2.77 · 5.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 53% | — |
| — |
Los Angeles Angels 37-57
@ Minnesota Twins 46-48
|
Grayson Rodriguez
· 7.98 · 7.4
Zebby Matthews
· 5.22 · 7.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 54% | — |
| — |
Athletics 41-52
@ Chicago White Sox 47-45
|
Aaron Civale
· 5.23 · 6.7
Sean Burke
· 3.35 · 10.3
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 55% | — |
| — |
Atlanta Braves 54-38
@ St. Louis Cardinals 48-44
|
Chris Sale
· 2.08 · 11.0
Matthew Liberatore
· 4.97 · 8.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 40% | — |
| — |
Houston Astros 46-49
@ Texas Rangers 47-46
|
Hunter Brown
· 3.42 · 9.4
Cal Quantrill
· 3.34 · 6.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 45% | — |
| — |
Arizona Diamondbacks 46-47
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 61-33
|
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.48 · 6.1
Shohei Ohtani
· 1.79 · 10.0
|
Scheduled | +180 / -198 | 9 | 66% | 68% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
Colorado Rockies 38-57
@ San Francisco Giants 39-54
|
Tanner Gordon
· 6.26 · 6.7
Tyler Mahle
· 5.13 · 8.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 65% | — |
| — |
Toronto Blue Jays 44-49
@ San Diego Padres 46-47
|
Shane Bieber
· 5.11 · 6.8
JP Sears
· 4.76 · 7.0
|
Scheduled | +109 / -118 | 8.5 | 53% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |