MLB Slate
2026-07-10 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:40 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 59-34
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 47-47
|
Brandon Sproat
· 5.20 · 9.5
Braxton Ashcraft
· 3.59 · 9.4
|
Postponed
0–0
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 52-42
@ Detroit Tigers 43-50
|
Aaron Nola
· 4.67 · 9.1
Jack Flaherty
· 4.59 · 10.6
|
Final
2–10
|
— | — | — | 51% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
New York Yankees 51-42
@ Washington Nationals 48-46
|
Ryan Weathers
· 3.77 · 9.4
Zack Littell
· 6.18 · 5.5
|
Final
5–3
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 7:05 PM |
Kansas City Royals 38-56
@ Baltimore Orioles 43-51
|
Luinder Avila
· 6.10 · 7.8
Brandon Young
· 3.49 · 7.6
|
Final
3–5
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Chicago Cubs 52-41
@ Cincinnati Reds 42-50
|
Shota Imanaga
· 3.83 · 8.9
Hunter Greene
· 6.83 · 10.7
|
Final
0–4
|
— | — | — | 46% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 48-46
@ Miami Marlins 52-42
|
Parker Messick
· 2.56 · 9.3
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.92 · 6.5
|
Final
3–2
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Seattle Mariners 47-47
@ Tampa Bay Rays 54-37
|
Luis Castillo
· 5.37 · 7.6
Nick Martinez
· 3.20 · 5.4
|
Final
2–7
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Athletics 41-52
@ Chicago White Sox 47-45
|
Aaron Civale
· 5.23 · 6.7
Sean Burke
· 3.72 · 9.8
|
Final
1–14
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:50 PM |
Boston Red Sox 43-48
@ New York Mets 40-54
|
Sonny Gray
· 2.82 · 7.8
Nolan McLean
· 2.99 · 9.6
|
Final
6–2
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Houston Astros 46-49
@ Texas Rangers 47-46
|
Hunter Brown
· 3.11 · 10.3
Cal Quantrill
· 2.47 · 7.2
|
Final
3–7
|
-132 / +122 | 8.5 | 44% | 45% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:10 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 37-57
@ Minnesota Twins 46-48
|
Grayson Rodriguez
· 6.28 · 7.8
Zebby Matthews
· 4.90 · 8.0
|
Final
4–3
|
+138 / -150 | 9.5 | 59% | 54% | model leans away |
| 8:15 PM |
Atlanta Braves 54-38
@ St. Louis Cardinals 48-44
|
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
Matthew Liberatore
· 5.23 · 8.9
|
Final
1–2
|
— | — | — | 40% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 44-49
@ San Diego Padres 46-47
|
Shane Bieber
· 4.37 · 7.1
JP Sears
· 4.76 · 7.0
|
Final
5–3
|
+109 / -118 | 8.5 | 53% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:10 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 46-47
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 61-33
|
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
Shohei Ohtani
· 1.79 · 10.0
|
Final
9–3
|
+180 / -198 | 9 | 65% | 68% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:15 PM |
Colorado Rockies 38-57
@ San Francisco Giants 39-54
|
Tanner Gordon
· 7.97 · 6.5
Tyler Mahle
· 3.99 · 8.3
|
Final
4–3
|
— | — | — | 65% | — |