MLB Slate
2026-07-19 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
16
First pitch
12:15 PM
Final
16
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
16 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:15 PM |
Chicago White Sox 51-46
@ Toronto Blue Jays 46-52
|
Sean Burke
· 3.72 · 9.8
Trey Yesavage
· 3.76 · 9.1
|
Final
3–0
|
-113 / +105 | 8 | 48% | 54% | model leans home |
| 12:35 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 62-36
@ New York Yankees 54-43
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
8–2
|
-124 / +115 | 7.5 | 46% | — | — |
| 1:35 PM |
New York Mets 41-58
@ Philadelphia Phillies 55-44
|
Nolan McLean
· 2.99 · 9.6
Alan Rangel
· 6.35 · 10.3
|
Final
6–1
|
-120 / +111 | 8.5 | 46% | 55% | model leans home |
| 1:35 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 56-41
@ Boston Red Sox 49-48
|
Shane McClanahan
· 3.28 · 8.1
Sonny Gray
· 2.82 · 7.8
|
Final
1–6
|
+110 / -119 | 8.5 | 53% | 57% | model leans home |
| 1:35 PM |
Texas Rangers 50-48
@ Atlanta Braves 56-41
|
Nathan Eovaldi
· 4.14 · 9.2
Grant Holmes
· 3.73 · 6.9
|
Final
5–8
|
-115 / +106 | 8.5 | 48% | 53% | model leans home |
| 1:40 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 51-48
@ Cleveland Guardians 52-47
|
Paul Skenes
· 3.77 · 10.3
Tanner Bibee
· 4.34 · 6.8
|
Final
7–1
|
+100 / -109 | 6.5 | 51% | 49% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:10 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 48-51
@ Houston Astros 47-53
|
Kyle Bradish
· 4.12 · 8.2
Hunter Brown
· 3.11 · 10.3
|
Final
5–2
|
— | — | — | 51% | — |
| 2:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 52-47
@ Milwaukee Brewers 61-37
|
Eury Perez
· 4.05 · 9.3
Robert Gasser
· 4.11 · 8.7
|
Final
1–3
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 2:10 PM |
San Diego Padres 48-50
@ Kansas City Royals 40-59
|
German Marquez
· 5.66 · 6.4
Noah Cameron
· 4.44 · 7.8
|
Final
19–2
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 2:20 PM |
Minnesota Twins 49-50
@ Chicago Cubs 55-43
|
Zebby Matthews
· 4.90 · 8.0
Shota Imanaga
· 3.83 · 8.9
|
Final
1–10
|
— | — | — | 65% | — |
| 3:10 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 44-53
@ Colorado Rockies 40-60
|
Hunter Greene
· 6.83 · 10.7
Ryan Feltner
· 6.19 · 6.4
|
Final
9–6
|
— | — | — | 42% | — |
| 4:05 PM |
Washington Nationals 49-50
@ Athletics 42-56
|
Foster Griffin
· 3.42 · 8.1
Jacob Lopez
· 5.50 · 7.8
|
Final
5–2
|
— | — | — | 46% | — |
| 4:07 PM |
Detroit Tigers 46-52
@ Los Angeles Angels 38-61
|
Casey Mize
· 3.87 · 7.7
Ryan Johnson
· 4.68 · 7.5
|
Final
2–3
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 4:10 PM |
San Francisco Giants 42-56
@ Seattle Mariners 49-50
|
Robbie Ray
· 3.73 · 7.5
Logan Gilbert
· 3.73 · 9.9
|
Final
3–6
|
+176 / -194 | 7 | 65% | 61% | model leans away |
| 4:10 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 51-46
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 50-48
|
Andre Pallante
· 3.91 · 6.1
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
|
Final/10
7–8
|
+114 / -123 | 9 | 54% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:20 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 62-36
@ New York Yankees 54-43
|
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
· 2.53 · 8.9
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
|
Final
1–2
|
-123 / +114 | 9 | 46% | 49% | agrees within 3 pts |