MLB Slate
2026-07-20 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:40 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 PM |
Minnesota Twins 49-51
@ Cleveland Guardians 52-48
|
Joe Ryan
· 4.07 · 10.1
Tanner Bibee
· 4.34 · 6.8
|
Final
4–13
|
-124 / +106 | 8 | 47% | 53% | model leans home |
| 7:00 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 63-37
@ Philadelphia Phillies 55-45
|
Emmet Sheehan
· 4.79 · 10.3
Cristopher Sanchez
· 2.60 · 10.4
|
Final
7–10
|
+114 / -134 | 8.5 | 55% | 47% | model leans away |
| 7:05 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 52-48
@ New York Yankees 55-44
|
Braxton Ashcraft
· 3.59 · 9.4
Ryan Weathers
· 3.77 · 9.4
|
Final
5–8
|
+110 / -130 | 8 | 54% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:07 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 56-42
@ Toronto Blue Jays 46-53
|
Nick Martinez
· 3.20 · 5.4
Dylan Cease
· 2.48 · 12.8
|
Final
7–1
|
+126 / -148 | 7.5 | 58% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 49-51
@ Boston Red Sox 50-48
|
Shane Baz
· 4.11 · 7.7
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
|
Final
5–6
|
+114 / -134 | 9 | 55% | 58% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:15 PM |
San Diego Padres 49-50
@ Atlanta Braves 57-41
|
JP Sears
· 4.76 · 7.0
Bryce Elder
· 4.25 · 7.5
|
Final
2–3
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
New York Mets 42-58
@ Milwaukee Brewers 62-37
|
Freddy Peralta
· 4.14 · 8.3
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
|
Final
3–8
|
— | — | — | 72% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
San Francisco Giants 42-57
@ Kansas City Royals 40-60
|
Trevor McDonald
· 5.12 · 7.3
Michael Wacha
· 3.37 · 7.2
|
Final
3–4
|
— | — | — | 52% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Chicago White Sox 52-46
@ Texas Rangers 50-49
|
Erick Fedde
· 3.86 · 6.7
Jacob deGrom
· 4.20 · 11.1
|
Final
10–3
|
— | — | — | 60% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Detroit Tigers 46-53
@ Chicago Cubs 56-43
|
Jack Flaherty
· 4.59 · 10.6
Jameson Taillon
· 5.60 · 7.9
|
Final/10
8–6
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 8:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 52-48
@ Houston Astros 47-54
|
Janson Junk
· 4.21 · 6.6
Ronel Blanco
· 5.79 · 7.7
|
Final
5–8
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 8:40 PM |
Washington Nationals 50-50
@ Colorado Rockies 40-61
|
Andrew Alvarez
· 3.35 · 9.0
Kyle Freeland
· 6.65 · 7.2
|
Final
7–3
|
— | — | — | 44% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Athletics 42-57
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 51-48
|
Jeffrey Springs
· 5.97 · 6.9
Mitch Bratt
· 5.59 · 5.1
|
Final
5–2
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 45-53
@ Seattle Mariners 50-50
|
Andrew Abbott
· 4.69 · 7.2
George Kirby
· 4.33 · 7.6
|
Final
0–8
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 10:00 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 51-47
@ Los Angeles Angels 39-61
|
Kyle Leahy
· 3.66 · 8.5
Jose Soriano
· 3.76 · 9.2
|
Final
2–3
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |