MLB Slate
2026-07-20 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
—
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — |
Baltimore Orioles 49-51
@ Boston Red Sox 50-48
|
Shane Baz
· 3.86 · 7.8
Payton Tolle
· 3.30 · 9.8
|
Scheduled | +114 / -134 | 9 | 55% | 58% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
Los Angeles Dodgers 63-37
@ Philadelphia Phillies 55-45
|
Emmet Sheehan
· 5.29 · 10.2
Cristopher Sanchez
· 2.33 · 10.8
|
Scheduled | +114 / -134 | 8.5 | 55% | 47% | model leans away |
| — |
Minnesota Twins 49-51
@ Cleveland Guardians 52-48
|
Joe Ryan
· 3.96 · 10.1
Tanner Bibee
· 3.81 · 6.8
|
Scheduled | -124 / +106 | 8 | 46% | 53% | model leans home |
| — |
Pittsburgh Pirates 52-48
@ New York Yankees 55-44
|
Braxton Ashcraft
· 3.96 · 9.9
Ryan Weathers
· 3.99 · 9.9
|
Scheduled | +110 / -130 | 8 | 55% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
San Diego Padres 49-50
@ Atlanta Braves 57-41
|
JP Sears
· 4.76 · 7.0
Bryce Elder
· 3.84 · 7.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 54% | — |
| — |
Tampa Bay Rays 56-42
@ Toronto Blue Jays 46-53
|
Nick Martinez
· 2.77 · 5.0
Dylan Cease
· 2.39 · 13.2
|
Scheduled | +126 / -148 | 7.5 | 58% | 55% | model leans away |
| — |
Chicago White Sox 52-46
@ Texas Rangers 50-49
|
Erick Fedde
· 4.37 · 6.6
Jacob deGrom
· 3.96 · 10.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 60% | — |
| — |
Detroit Tigers 46-53
@ Chicago Cubs 56-43
|
Jack Flaherty
· 4.59 · 10.6
Jameson Taillon
· 5.92 · 8.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 57% | — |
| — |
Miami Marlins 52-48
@ Houston Astros 47-54
|
Janson Junk
· 4.58 · 7.0
Ronel Blanco
· 7.36 · 9.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 53% | — |
| — |
New York Mets 42-58
@ Milwaukee Brewers 62-37
|
Freddy Peralta
· 4.99 · 8.9
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.75 · 13.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 72% | — |
| — |
San Francisco Giants 42-57
@ Kansas City Royals 40-60
|
Trevor McDonald
· 5.12 · 7.3
Michael Wacha
· 3.51 · 7.2
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 52% | — |
| — |
Washington Nationals 50-50
@ Colorado Rockies 40-61
|
Andrew Alvarez
· 4.10 · 8.4
Kyle Freeland
· 6.81 · 7.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 44% | — |
| — |
Athletics 42-57
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 51-48
|
Jeffrey Springs
· 5.88 · 7.2
Mitch Bratt
· 5.23 · 5.2
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 59% | — |
| — |
Cincinnati Reds 45-53
@ Seattle Mariners 50-50
|
Andrew Abbott
· 3.91 · 7.0
George Kirby
· 3.76 · 7.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 59% | — |
| — |
St. Louis Cardinals 51-47
@ Los Angeles Angels 39-61
|
Kyle Leahy
· 3.44 · 7.6
Jose Soriano
· 3.21 · 9.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 45% | — |