MLB Slate
2026-09-08 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:35 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:35 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 73-72
@ Baltimore Orioles 70-75
|
Tanner Bibee
· 4.34 · 6.8
Brandon Young
· 3.49 · 7.6
|
Final
9–5
|
+105 / -113 | 8 | 52% | 50% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:40 PM |
Houston Astros 73-71
@ Philadelphia Phillies 81-63
|
Hayden Wesneski
· 3.27 · 6.9
Andrew Painter
· 5.51 · 8.1
|
Final
6–5
|
+119 / -129 | 8.5 | 55% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:40 PM |
Minnesota Twins 68-76
@ Detroit Tigers 66-78
|
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
Drew Anderson
· 2.81 · 9.0
|
Final
3–2
|
+116 / -125 | 8.5 | 55% | 58% | model leans home |
| 6:40 PM |
New York Mets 66-78
@ Miami Marlins 72-73
|
Sean Manaea
· 5.05 · 8.1
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.92 · 6.5
|
Final
7–5
|
-102 / -106 | 8 | 50% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:45 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 54-90
@ Boston Red Sox 80-65
|
Reid Detmers
· 3.28 · 10.2
Jake Bennett
· 3.58 · 7.2
|
Final
6–1
|
+128 / -139 | 7.5 | 57% | 67% | model leans home |
| 7:05 PM |
Colorado Rockies 55-88
@ New York Yankees 81-62
|
Gabriel Hughes
· 6.47 · 7.8
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
|
Final
3–5
|
+279 / -317 | 7.5 | 75% | 79% | model leans home |
| 7:15 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 85-58
@ Atlanta Braves 85-59
|
Freddy Peralta
· 4.14 · 8.3
AJ Smith-Shawver
· 7.71 · 7.7
|
Final
7–1
|
+101 / -110 | 8.5 | 51% | 50% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:40 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 77-68
@ Kansas City Royals 64-81
|
Corbin Burnes
· 7.84 · 7.0
Michael Wacha
· 3.37 · 7.2
|
Final/11
5–3
|
+102 / -110 | 9 | 51% | 47% | model leans away |
| 7:40 PM |
Chicago Cubs 81-64
@ Milwaukee Brewers 89-56
|
Kevin Gausman
· 4.51 · 9.3
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
|
Final/10
3–4
|
+174 / -190 | 7 | 65% | 60% | model leans away |
| 7:40 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 71-73
@ Chicago White Sox 75-68
|
Bubba Chandler
· 4.72 · 8.1
Davis Martin
· 3.58 · 8.0
|
Final
9–3
|
+126 / -136 | 8.5 | 57% | 56% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
Texas Rangers 71-73
@ Seattle Mariners 67-77
|
Cody Bradford
· 5.24 · 3.4
Bryce Miller
· 4.06 · 9.1
|
Final
10–5
|
+105 / -114 | 7.5 | 52% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 72-73
@ Athletics 58-87
|
Jose Soriano
· 3.76 · 9.2
Jack Perkins
· 6.75 · 10.5
|
Final
4–2
|
-169 / +154 | 9 | 38% | 43% | model leans home |
| 9:40 PM |
Washington Nationals 67-79
@ San Diego Padres 76-68
|
Jake Irvin
· 5.52 · 9.4
Casey Mize
· 3.87 · 7.7
|
Final
4–5
|
+164 / -180 | 8.5 | 63% | 64% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:45 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 72-73
@ San Francisco Giants 60-85
|
Quinn Mathews
· 3.83 · 8.4
Blade Tidwell
· 4.99 · 7.5
|
Final
1–2
|
-106 / -102 | 7.5 | 50% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:10 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 69-75
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 87-57
|
Nick Lodolo
· 4.97 · 6.9
Tarik Skubal
· 2.71 · 10.6
|
Final
2–3
|
+258 / -290 | 8 | 73% | 73% | agrees within 3 pts |