MLB Slate
2026-09-10 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
5
First pitch
12:15 PM
Final
5
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
5 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:15 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 87-58
@ Atlanta Braves 85-61
|
Nick Martinez
· 3.20 · 5.4
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
|
Final
1–3
|
+101 / -109 | 8.5 | 51% | 62% | model leans home |
| 1:05 PM |
Houston Astros 74-72
@ Philadelphia Phillies 82-64
|
Cristian Javier
· 5.80 · 7.6
Zack Wheeler
· 3.00 · 10.7
|
Final
2–1
|
+166 / -181 | 8.5 | 63% | 65% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
Texas Rangers 72-74
@ Seattle Mariners 68-78
|
Kumar Rocker
· 4.49 · 8.2
Logan Gilbert
· 3.73 · 9.9
|
Final
3–4
|
+111 / -121 | 7 | 54% | 58% | model leans home |
| 7:05 PM |
Colorado Rockies 55-90
@ New York Yankees 83-62
|
Ryan Feltner
· 6.19 · 6.4
Carlos Rodon
· 2.62 · 9.7
|
Final
3–10
|
+241 / -270 | 8.5 | 72% | 75% | model leans home |
| 7:40 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 73-73
@ Chicago White Sox 75-70
|
Jared Jones
· 3.59 · 11.0
Hagen Smith
· 0.00 · 13.5
|
Final
2–0
|
+101 / -109 | 7.5 | 51% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |