MLB Slate
2026-09-13 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
12:10 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:10 PM |
Colorado Rockies 55-93
@ Detroit Tigers 69-79
|
Gabriel Hughes
· 6.47 · 7.8
Troy Melton
· 2.93 · 7.5
|
Final
1–8
|
+135 / -147 | 9 | 58% | 69% | model leans home |
| 1:35 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 56-92
@ Washington Nationals 69-81
|
Grayson Rodriguez
· 6.28 · 7.8
Jake Irvin
· 5.52 · 9.4
|
Final
5–6
|
+121 / -131 | 9.5 | 56% | 53% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
New York Mets 69-79
@ New York Yankees 85-63
|
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
|
Final
0–2
|
+158 / -173 | 8 | 62% | 64% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 82-67
@ Atlanta Braves 88-61
|
Andrew Painter
· 5.51 · 8.1
AJ Smith-Shawver
· 7.71 · 7.7
|
Final
9–4
|
+113 / -122 | 9.5 | 54% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:37 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 72-77
@ Toronto Blue Jays 74-75
|
Trevor Rogers
· 4.07 · 8.1
Dylan Cease
· 2.48 · 12.8
|
Final
1–8
|
+132 / -144 | 7 | 58% | 58% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:40 PM |
Houston Astros 75-74
@ Tampa Bay Rays 89-59
|
Hayden Wesneski
· 3.27 · 6.9
Ian Seymour
· 4.44 · 11.8
|
Final
4–14
|
+114 / -124 | 8 | 54% | 60% | model leans home |
| 1:40 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 90-58
@ Miami Marlins 73-76
|
Justin Wrobleski
· 3.58 · 7.5
Eury Perez
· 4.05 · 9.3
|
Final
4–6
|
-129 / +119 | 8.5 | 45% | 48% | model leans home |
| 2:10 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 69-79
@ Milwaukee Brewers 93-56
|
Chase Burns
· 2.86 · 10.8
Kyle Harrison
· 4.11 · 10.6
|
Final
4–3
|
+170 / -187 | 8 | 64% | 64% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:10 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 75-74
@ Minnesota Twins 70-78
|
Joey Cantillo
· 4.01 · 9.6
Joe Ryan
· 4.07 · 10.1
|
Final
9–2
|
+111 / -120 | 7.5 | 54% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:15 PM |
Chicago White Sox 76-72
@ St. Louis Cardinals 73-76
|
Sean Burke
· 3.72 · 9.8
Michael McGreevy
· 3.95 · 6.1
|
Final
1–3
|
-113 / +105 | 8.5 | 48% | 52% | model leans home |
| 2:20 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 74-75
@ Chicago Cubs 83-66
|
Bubba Chandler
· 4.72 · 8.1
Matthew Boyd
· 3.91 · 6.8
|
Final
4–3
|
+148 / -161 | 7 | 61% | 64% | model leans home |
| 3:05 PM |
Kansas City Royals 66-83
@ Boston Red Sox 81-68
|
Noah Cameron
· 4.44 · 7.8
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
|
Final
1–4
|
+169 / -185 | 7.5 | 64% | 64% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:05 PM |
Seattle Mariners 70-79
@ Athletics 60-89
|
Bryce Miller
· 4.06 · 9.1
Jacob Lopez
· 5.50 · 7.8
|
Final
7–8
|
-128 / +118 | 9 | 45% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
Texas Rangers 73-76
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 79-70
|
Cal Quantrill
· 2.47 · 7.2
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
|
Final
7–6
|
+114 / -123 | 8 | 54% | 60% | model leans home |
| 7:20 PM |
San Diego Padres 80-68
@ San Francisco Giants 62-87
|
Nick Pivetta
· 2.86 · 10.9
Logan Webb
· 4.31 · 7.5
|
Final
6–4
|
-135 / +124 | 7.5 | 44% | 44% | agrees within 3 pts |