MLB Slate

2026-09-14 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Slate Props Model Record
Games today
10
First pitch
6:40 PM
Final
10
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
2026-09-14
First pitch Disagreements to investigate Hide finals
Today's slate 10 games
Time Matchup Probables (ERA · K/9) Status Market ML (A/H) Total Mkt H% Model H% Agreement
6:40 PM
Chicago White Sox 76-73
@ Cleveland Guardians 76-74
Sean Newcomb · 0.84 · 11.0
Gavin Williams · 3.76 · 12.1
Final
7–3
 +141 / -153 7 59% 55% model leans away
6:40 PM
Los Angeles Dodgers 90-59
@ Cincinnati Reds 70-79
Tarik Skubal · 2.71 · 10.6
Nick Lodolo · 4.97 · 6.9
Final
4–1
 -207 / +188 7.5 34% 38% model leans home
7:07 PM
Detroit Tigers 70-79
@ Toronto Blue Jays 75-75
Troy Melton · 2.93 · 7.5
José Soriano · 4.66 · 5.3
Final
6–5
 +128 / -139 7.5 57% 50% model leans away
7:10 PM
Baltimore Orioles 72-78
@ New York Mets 69-80
Brandon Young · 3.49 · 7.6
Jonah Tong · 3.92 · 11.8
Final
2–1
 +127 / -138 8 57% 54% agrees within 3 pts
7:40 PM
Atlanta Braves 88-62
@ Chicago Cubs 83-67
Reynaldo López · 6.92 · 6.9
David Peterson · 5.17 · 8.7
Final
3–7
 +118 / -128 9.5 55% 53% agrees within 3 pts
7:40 PM
New York Yankees 86-63
@ Minnesota Twins 70-79
Will Warren · 4.06 · 9.1
Dean Kremer · 4.85 · 8.9
Final
8–3
 -117 / +108 8 47% 44% model leans away
7:45 PM
San Francisco Giants 62-88
@ St. Louis Cardinals 74-76
Landen Roupp · 4.01 · 8.3
Quinn Mathews · 3.83 · 8.4
Final
1–2
 +129 / -140 8 57% 57% agrees within 3 pts
8:40 PM
San Diego Padres 81-68
@ Colorado Rockies 55-94
Casey Mize · 3.87 · 7.7
Tomoyuki Sugano · 5.36 · 5.6
Final
8–7
 -195 / +177 11 35% 38% agrees within 3 pts
9:38 PM
Seattle Mariners 70-80
@ Los Angeles Angels 56-93
Kade Anderson · 3.79 · 8.1
Reid Detmers · 3.28 · 10.2
Final
4–6
 -102 / -106 7.5 50% 53% agrees within 3 pts
9:40 PM
Miami Marlins 74-76
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 79-71
Sandy Alcantara · 3.92 · 6.5
Corbin Burnes · 7.84 · 7.0
Final
7–8
 +123 / -134 8.5 56% 58% agrees within 3 pts