MLB Slate
2026-09-16 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
1:00 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM |
Chicago White Sox 77-74
@ Cleveland Guardians 77-75
|
Anthony Kay
· 4.53 · 7.6
Parker Messick
· 2.56 · 9.3
|
Final
3–6
|
+157 / -175 | 7.5 | 62% | 58% | model leans away |
| 1:15 PM |
San Francisco Giants 63-89
@ St. Louis Cardinals 75-77
|
Anthony Molina
· 4.38 · 10.2
Matthew Liberatore
· 5.23 · 8.9
|
Final/10
6–5
|
+142 / -158 | 8 | 60% | 56% | model leans away |
| 1:40 PM |
New York Yankees 88-63
@ Minnesota Twins 70-81
|
Carlos Rodón
· 2.87 · 9.8
Zebby Matthews
· 4.90 · 8.0
|
Final/13
4–5
|
-167 / +153 | 8 | 38% | 42% | model leans home |
| 3:07 PM |
Detroit Tigers 72-79
@ Toronto Blue Jays 75-77
|
Keider Montero
· 3.69 · 5.7
Max Scherzer
· 5.74 · 7.2
|
Final
1–5
|
+117 / -126 | 8 | 55% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:40 PM |
Athletics 61-90
@ Tampa Bay Rays 91-59
|
Brady Basso
· 7.56 · 6.5
Nick Martinez
· 3.20 · 5.4
|
Final
3–4
|
— | 8 | — | 65% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 92-59
@ Cincinnati Reds 70-81
|
Blake Snell
· 1.90 · 11.6
Andrew Abbott
· 4.69 · 7.2
|
Final
2–6
|
— | 8.5 | — | 39% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 94-57
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 75-76
|
Logan Henderson
· 2.44 · 9.9
Jared Jones
· 3.59 · 11.0
|
Final
5–4
|
— | 7.5 | — | 41% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 83-68
@ Washington Nationals 71-81
|
Zack Wheeler
· 3.00 · 10.7
Cade Cavalli
· 3.02 · 10.6
|
Final
3–0
|
— | 9 | — | 43% | — |
| 7:00 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 74-78
@ New York Mets 69-82
|
Chris Bassitt
· 4.71 · 6.3
Robert Stock
· 6.00 · 8.7
|
Final
7–1
|
— | 9 | — | 51% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Atlanta Braves 89-63
@ Chicago Cubs 84-68
|
Martin Perez
· 2.86 · 6.2
Shota Imanaga
· 3.83 · 8.9
|
Final
4–8
|
— | 7.5 | — | 60% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Boston Red Sox 82-69
@ Texas Rangers 75-76
|
Jake Bennett
· 3.58 · 7.2
Jacob deGrom
· 4.20 · 11.1
|
Final
3–7
|
— | 8 | — | 51% | — |
| 8:10 PM |
Kansas City Royals 66-85
@ Houston Astros 76-75
|
Daniel Lynch IV
· 6.53 · 4.7
Cristian Javier
· 5.80 · 7.6
|
Final
5–2
|
— | 9 | — | 58% | — |
| 8:40 PM |
San Diego Padres 82-69
@ Colorado Rockies 56-95
|
Robbie Ray
· 3.73 · 7.5
Mason Adams
· 4.03 · 9.6
|
Final
9–3
|
— | 11 | — | 41% | — |
| 9:38 PM |
Seattle Mariners 70-82
@ Los Angeles Angels 58-93
|
George Kirby
· 4.33 · 7.6
Yusei Kikuchi
· 4.92 · 8.9
|
Final
7–2
|
— | 8 | — | 49% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Miami Marlins 75-77
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 80-72
|
Ryan Gusto
· 4.33 · 7.4
Merrill Kelly
· 4.94 · 6.3
|
Final
4–3
|
— | 9 | — | 56% | — |