MLB Slate
2026-09-17 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
9
First pitch
12:35 PM
Final
9
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
9 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:35 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 95-57
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 75-77
|
Dustin May
· 4.77 · 9.0
Wilber Dotel
· 9.00 · 6.8
|
Final
4–7
|
— | 8.5 | — | 43% | — |
| 12:40 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 92-60
@ Cincinnati Reds 71-81
|
Blake Snell
· 1.90 · 11.6
Brady Singer
· 5.66 · 7.2
|
Final
8–2
|
— | 10 | — | 39% | — |
| 1:10 PM |
Athletics 61-91
@ Tampa Bay Rays 92-59
|
Jeffrey Springs
· 5.97 · 6.9
Drew Rasmussen
· 2.67 · 9.1
|
Final
1–10
|
— | 7.5 | — | 71% | — |
| 3:10 PM |
San Diego Padres 83-69
@ Colorado Rockies 56-96
|
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
Tanner Gordon
· 7.97 · 6.5
|
Final
9–2
|
— | 11 | — | 37% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 84-68
@ New York Mets 69-83
|
Aaron Nola
· 4.67 · 9.1
Nolan McLean
· 2.99 · 9.6
|
Final
3–0
|
+115 / -124 | 8.5 | 54% | 49% | model leans away |
| 7:15 PM |
Kansas City Royals 67-85
@ Houston Astros 76-76
|
Seth Lugo
· 5.17 · 7.0
Miguel Ullola
· 5.40 · 0.0
|
Final
2–6
|
+136 / -148 | 9 | 59% | 54% | model leans away |
| 7:40 PM |
Detroit Tigers 72-80
@ Chicago White Sox 77-75
|
Framber Valdez
· 4.20 · 7.0
Luis Castillo
· 5.37 · 7.6
|
Final
1–3
|
+101 / -109 | 8.5 | 51% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:05 PM |
Boston Red Sox 82-70
@ Texas Rangers 76-76
|
Sonny Gray
· 2.82 · 7.8
Kumar Rocker
· 4.49 · 8.2
|
Final
4–3
|
-118 / +109 | 8 | 47% | 43% | model leans away |
| 9:38 PM |
Minnesota Twins 71-81
@ Los Angeles Angels 58-94
|
Taj Bradley
· 3.73 · 10.3
Walbert Urena
· 3.31 · 8.8
|
Final/10
4–5
|
+101 / -110 | 7 | 51% | 50% | agrees within 3 pts |