MLB Slate
2026-09-20 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
1:10 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:10 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 85-70
@ New York Mets 71-84
|
Cristopher Sanchez
· 2.60 · 10.4
Jonah Tong
· 3.92 · 11.8
|
Final
7–2
|
-152 / +140 | 7.5 | 41% | 45% | model leans home |
| 1:35 PM |
Kansas City Royals 67-88
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 78-77
|
Michael Wacha
· 3.37 · 7.2
Lake Bachar
· 2.16 · 10.1
|
Final
3–4
|
+104 / -112 | 8.5 | 52% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:40 PM |
Athletics 61-94
@ Cleveland Guardians 80-75
|
Jack Perkins
· 6.75 · 10.5
Gavin Williams
· 3.76 · 12.1
|
Final
0–1
|
+208 / -231 | 7 | 69% | 67% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:40 PM |
Boston Red Sox 84-71
@ Tampa Bay Rays 94-60
|
Patrick Sandoval
· 5.28 · 9.4
Griffin Jax
· 3.32 · 9.3
|
Final
1–5
|
+137 / -149 | 7.5 | 59% | 55% | model leans away |
| 1:40 PM |
Chicago Cubs 86-69
@ Cincinnati Reds 72-83
|
David Peterson
· 5.17 · 8.7
Rhett Lowder
· 6.13 · 7.3
|
Final
9–1
|
-151 / +139 | 9.5 | 41% | 41% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:10 PM |
Atlanta Braves 91-64
@ Houston Astros 77-78
|
Grant Holmes
· 3.73 · 6.9
Hunter Brown
· 3.11 · 10.3
|
Final
4–2
|
+139 / -151 | 8 | 59% | 50% | model leans away |
| 2:10 PM |
Detroit Tigers 73-82
@ Chicago White Sox 79-76
|
Troy Melton
· 2.93 · 7.5
Davis Martin
· 3.58 · 8.0
|
Final
1–8
|
+102 / -111 | 8 | 52% | 48% | model leans away |
| 2:15 PM |
Washington Nationals 73-82
@ St. Louis Cardinals 75-80
|
Jake Irvin
· 5.52 · 9.4
Quinn Mathews
· 3.83 · 8.4
|
Final
3–5
|
+115 / -124 | 8.5 | 54% | 57% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 2:35 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 76-79
@ Texas Rangers 78-77
|
Spencer Miles
· 5.73 · 7.8
Jacob deGrom
· 4.20 · 11.1
|
Final
7–2
|
+147 / -160 | 7.5 | 61% | 59% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 3:10 PM |
Seattle Mariners 72-83
@ Colorado Rockies 57-98
|
Kade Anderson
· 3.79 · 8.1
Kyle Freeland
· 6.65 · 7.2
|
Final
2–1
|
-154 / +142 | 11 | 40% | 44% | model leans home |
| 4:07 PM |
Minnesota Twins 72-83
@ Los Angeles Angels 60-95
|
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
Ryan Johnson
· 4.68 · 7.5
|
Final
8–0
|
-110 / +102 | 8 | 49% | 50% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 76-79
@ San Diego Padres 86-69
|
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.92 · 6.5
Walker Buehler
· 4.69 · 7.7
|
Final
3–7
|
+137 / -149 | 8 | 59% | 57% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
New York Yankees 89-65
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 81-74
|
Will Warren
· 4.06 · 9.1
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
|
Final
4–8
|
+103 / -111 | 8 | 52% | 48% | model leans away |
| 4:10 PM |
San Francisco Giants 64-91
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 95-60
|
Landen Roupp
· 4.01 · 8.3
Tarik Skubal
· 2.71 · 10.6
|
Final
1–3
|
+235 / -262 | 8.5 | 71% | 76% | model leans home |
| 7:20 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 97-58
@ Baltimore Orioles 75-80
|
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
Brandon Young
· 3.49 · 7.6
|
Final
3–0
|
-199 / +181 | 7.5 | 35% | 38% | model leans home |