MLB Slate
2026-09-21 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
3
First pitch
6:35 PM
Final
3
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
3 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:35 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 77-79
@ Baltimore Orioles 75-81
|
Trey Yesavage
· 3.76 · 9.1
Shane Baz
· 4.11 · 7.7
|
Final
3–4
|
-105 / -103 | 7.5 | 50% | 49% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:40 PM |
Washington Nationals 73-83
@ Detroit Tigers 73-83
|
Jackson Kent
· 6.40 · 7.5
Drew Anderson
· 2.81 · 9.0
|
Final
2–9
|
+122 / -132 | 8.5 | 56% | 61% | model leans home |
| 9:45 PM |
Minnesota Twins 73-83
@ San Francisco Giants 64-92
|
Bailey Ober
· 4.57 · 6.9
Blade Tidwell
· 4.99 · 7.5
|
Final
2–5
|
-117 / +108 | 8 | 47% | 49% | agrees within 3 pts |