MLB Slate
2026-09-26 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
13
First pitch
12:35 PM
Final
13
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
13 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:35 PM |
New York Mets 73-87
@ Washington Nationals 76-84
|
Jonah Tong
· 3.92 · 11.8
Connelly Early
· 3.33 · 8.9
|
Final
7–1
|
-101 / -107 | 8.5 | 51% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:10 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 81-79
@ Detroit Tigers 75-85
|
Lake Bachar
· 2.16 · 10.1
Justin Verlander
· 7.00 · 7.0
|
Final
3–4
|
+107 / -116 | 9 | 53% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 3:07 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 74-86
@ Toronto Blue Jays 78-82
|
Rhett Lowder
· 6.13 · 7.3
Spencer Miles
· 5.73 · 7.8
|
Final
5–1
|
+144 / -157 | 7.5 | 60% | 61% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:05 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 98-62
@ San Francisco Giants 65-95
|
Blake Snell
· 1.90 · 11.6
Matt Wilkinson
· 4.37 · 6.4
|
Final
4–3
|
-266 / +238 | 7 | 28% | 39% | model leans home |
| 4:10 PM |
Atlanta Braves 93-67
@ Miami Marlins 79-81
|
Martin Perez
· 2.86 · 6.2
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.92 · 6.5
|
Final
8–3
|
-110 / +102 | 8.5 | 49% | 50% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
Texas Rangers 79-81
@ Minnesota Twins 76-84
|
Jacob deGrom
· 4.20 · 11.1
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
|
Final
6–2
|
-120 / +111 | 7.5 | 46% | 45% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 84-76
@ Kansas City Royals 68-92
|
Gavin Williams
· 3.76 · 12.1
Michael Wacha
· 3.37 · 7.2
|
Final
11–5
|
-107 / -101 | 8 | 49% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
Colorado Rockies 57-103
@ Chicago White Sox 83-77
|
Tomoyuki Sugano
· 5.36 · 5.6
Davis Martin
· 3.58 · 8.0
|
Final
9–6
|
+214 / -237 | 8 | 69% | 69% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 77-83
@ Milwaukee Brewers 101-59
|
Quinn Mathews
· 3.83 · 8.4
Dustin May
· 4.77 · 9.0
|
Final
2–3
|
+139 / -151 | 7.5 | 59% | 64% | model leans home |
| 7:15 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 97-63
@ Philadelphia Phillies 87-73
|
Nick Martinez
· 3.20 · 5.4
Cristopher Sanchez
· 2.60 · 10.4
|
Final
12–1
|
+100 / -109 | 7 | 51% | 56% | model leans home |
| 8:40 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 86-74
@ San Diego Padres 89-71
|
Brandon Pfaadt
· 3.38 · 5.8
Walker Buehler
· 4.69 · 7.7
|
Final
7–10
|
— | 7.5 | — | 52% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 62-98
@ Seattle Mariners 74-86
|
Ryan Johnson
· 4.68 · 7.5
Kade Anderson
· 3.79 · 8.1
|
Final
4–8
|
— | 7 | — | 57% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Houston Astros 79-81
@ Athletics 64-96
|
Hunter Brown
· 3.11 · 10.3
Jack Perkins
· 6.75 · 10.5
|
Final
13–2
|
— | 9.5 | — | 42% | — |